Manufacturing Rate

[Coss]

Based on my guesstimate mfg date, they would only be manufacturing 55 a day - that's 5 days a week.

From what they have said; it will be a lot more than 55 a day; more like 250 a day when they go to 2 shifts, so halve that; 125 a day.
I believe 100 a day on the initial start; going to 125 within 3 to 4 weeks.

 

[XanWolf]

I thought the official production rate was suppose to get to 1000 per day (500/day x 2 production lines) The guestimator supports this; but I am not sure how much that means....

 

[Coss]

I thought the official production rate was suppose to get to 1000 per day (500/day x 2 production lines) The guestimator supports this; but I am not sure how much that means....

The numbers have changed so many times I've lost track.
The only number I'm really concerned about is mine.

 

[eliio21783]

I know, that's why I checked the "guestimator" link in post 2, it say's it will be end of April before I get my #4730, which I thought would still be in January / early February.
The "guestimator" which I think is way off the mark, .was how I came up with the 55/day using my delivery date and my reservation number.

Coss, based on your numbers for production, I'm back to the end of January for my #4730 - SO EXCITING.........!!!!!!!!!

 

[Coss]

I know, that's why I checked the "guestimator" link in post 2, it say's it will be end of April before I get my #4730, which I thought would still be in January / early February.
The "guestimator" which I think is way off the mark, .was how I came up with the 55/day using my delivery date and my reservation number.

Coss, based on your numbers for production, I'm back to the end of January for my #4730 - SO EXCITING.........!!!!!!!!!

What did you use for a start date?

 

[Grumpy Cat]

The numbers have changed so many times I've lost track.
The only number I'm really concerned about is mine.

But not until I get mine!

 

[eliio21783]

What did you use for a start date?

The "guestimator" has a start date of Jan 2, 2017 & I left it alone.

 

[Coss]

The "guestimator" has a start date of Jan 2, 2017 & I left it alone.

Change it to May 1st, 2017 and see what your delivery date becomes.

 

[Marshall]

The cars/day rate starts slowly (10/day) and grows to 50/day with either a second shift or a second line at the 90 day mark (I'm not certain which) which takes it to 100/day about 180 days into production. But his is an old estimator and subject to significant change.

 

[Marshall]

From what they have said; it will be a lot more than 55 a day; more like 250 a day when they go to 2 shifts, so halve that; 125 a day.
I believe 100 a day on the initial start; going to 125 within 3 to 4 weeks.

You are an optimist since the estimator starts at 10/day and slowly builds to 100/day after 180 days.