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Elio Crowdfunding

AriLea

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I think these A+ expressions are now following the news updates in relation to the expectations. If we get an SEC response in a timely fashion, bang big movement. If it's late, or less than expected, ho-hum. We likely have until November for any other type of significant news.
If EM could report some significant motion in the builds, that could create results. Simple rehashes of the sales pitches is not news.

I think at this point, it would be more useful to see reservations do some advancing, but I don't see much reasoning that drives the practical cost-oriented buyer at this point in time. That population is the great untapped resource at this time. I have always expected them to become motivated with-in 3months of production, or for half of those buyers, when the cars can be test driven.
With the expectation of 240k res's available and production no earlier than late 2016, there is no driving factor to reserve right now. On the other hand, if the supply were somehow limited, then that would spark a motivation to get 'em before they are gone.
Another way, set a schedule for the discount, maybe less discount by % for each month the buyer waits? That could create a motivation to act now.
When reservations start to climb, this will self motivate to climb more and faster. But what to start it?

Of course, if full funding were in hand, that would trigger activity, as always it would have.
 

AriLea

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I thought maybe I could make this easier on myself and get better data. So I recollected the whole dataset and built it into a spreadsheet. It's a lot easier.
It seems to show the corrections better, and you now get average placements. They are not on the same field of view this way, making it easier to see each line. The flat spot is where I didn't have daily data and had to plot on splits of increments.

Of course hacker adjustments can not be fully accounted for. But it's easier to guess where the two or three biggest corrections were.

I also get to see a 60day projection based on averaging the rate for the last 1week,2week,30day and 60days.
For this chart below that is now $49,739,940.25 60days from today.
A-PlusProgramX.png
 

Johnny Acree

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Do you know that every time we change our pledge we get a new contact date?

Dang!, I did wonder about that. I was worried that the offering would be over sold and I would be locked in at my original offer, so I increased it to my max instead of my min.
I guess that we will all be notified at the same time, so,,,, I feel better knowing I might not be limited to my min. offer for what ever reason.
 

Ekh

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Headed toward 10,000 priceless sets of contact info, and maybe $30,000. When are they pulling the plug? Think they'll stop taking names at $50,000? (That would put them at about 13,275 "interested" people). My guess is that would take until November -- and I'm sure they want to be getting checks in by then if it's possible to do so!
 

Ekh

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7:06 AM $37,009,699.00
8:53 AM $37,010,699.00
11:12 AM $37,037,299.00
11:59 AM $37,040,299.00
12:25 PM $37,041,899.00
2:09 PM $37,046,299.00
2:22 PM $37,046,899.00

Things has slowed down from the great Motley Fool High. But, I jumped the gun on them putting on the brakes. Naw, I was typing my wishful thinking again. The DOE loan thingy is over a year old. It is now, as we are told, all held up waiting for this SEC approval on this stock deal. One will follow the other in quick step, I hope. The P-5 will come out in LA, California mid-November.
Do you know that every time we change our pledge we get a new contact date? I went in the first day June 19, but that has been erased. My date now is September 4th, the last time I increased my pledge. Oh Well, such is life.
You think somebody kicked for $20,000 or so around 11:12 this morning?
 

Ekh

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I think these A+ expressions are now following the news updates in relation to the expectations. If we get an SEC response in a timely fashion, bang big movement. If it's late, or less than expected, ho-hum. We likely have until November for any other type of significant news.
If EM could report some significant motion in the builds, that could create results. Simple rehashes of the sales pitches is not news.

I think at this point, it would be more useful to see reservations do some advancing, but I don't see much reasoning that drives the practical cost-oriented buyer at this point in time. That population is the great untapped resource at this time. I have always expected them to become motivated with-in 3months of production, or for half of those buyers, when the cars can be test driven.
With the expectation of 240k res's available and production no earlier than late 2016, there is no driving factor to reserve right now. On the other hand, if the supply were somehow limited, then that would spark a motivation to get 'em before they are gone.
Another way, set a schedule for the discount, maybe less discount by % for each month the buyer waits? That could create a motivation to act now.
When reservations start to climb, this will self motivate to climb more and faster. But what to start it?

Of course, if full funding were in hand, that would trigger activity, as always it would have.
Not a good idea to jigger around with pricing and discounts too much at this stage. Sends a bad message. They COULD put out an incentive for early reservationists -- something like "reserve now and we'll trash the Elgin dash!" (joke). But free lane warning mirrors and a back-up camera for the first 70,000 reservations might spur a little action.

I tend to agree with you, that getting the P5 out there running on the roads, maybe performance testing it (informally; it won't have full production tweaks in the P5 engine), inviting more press test drives on actual roads, say 15 miles a pop, getting some mileage figures .... all these would help.

And how about maybe a few test drive sessions for certain early supporters -- like LilyMay, or you, or Silas Sunday or (maybe) even me (though I'm not that early on the bandwagon -- but boy could I write up a doozie of a report, with film and stills.)
 
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