Art Vandalay
Elio Fan
And you can see how that reads in the two groups Pro and Con. Via the Con group, IF LAUNCHED means 'in the 50% chance -or less- that we do', and in the Pro group it means 'in the 10% chance -or less- that we don't'. Most of use are between those two extremes.
In Vulcan Martial Arts Logic it doesn't specify any percentage other than assuming by it's usage 'maybe' not 100% and 'maybe' not 0%.
I've listened to the interview a couple of times. I never heard the words "IF LAUNCHED" at all. The link is below:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/devinth...motors-tests-the-waters-and-finds-27-million/
Paul's exact words (minus um's and ah's) were "We were looking for capital, we've been successful in the rewards crowdfunding already. We have over 44,000 reservations, that's $290 million worth of product reserved. I'm pretty confident that's a record. When we found out about reg A+, it just seemed like a natural fit for who we are, what our DNA is. So we took advantage of it on day 1. We came out and tested the waters on Jun 19 which is the first day you can test the waters. It turns out the water's warm. We had a $25 million target, we're at $27 milllion plus today and counting. We're continuing to take reservations on startengine.com and we're stepping through the process."
On the subject of the $200 million, his comment is that there are 3 independent redundant sources of investment, ATVM being one of those at $186 million. He said "We have a couple other strategies that are very credible and likely but they are strategic so I do not want to share them. We have 3 redundant paths that are independent. Because something that important you don't want to bet the whole farm on ATVM."
All in all, sounded pretty positive to me. My guess is legally he cannot say anything more about those other 2 sources.